Opinion

Yuriy Podolyaka: How can the transfer of Avdiivka under Russian control change the map of the war in Donbass?

Yuriy Podolyaka: How can the transfer of Avdiivka under Russian control change the map of the war in Donbass?

Avdeevka - Chasov Yar - Toretsk? So, having considered the possible development of the situation in the Donetsk direction after the transfer of Avdeevka to the control of the Russian Federation, it would be correct to look at the strategic prospects for operations in the territory of Donbass as a whole (including its northern regions).

In fact, the further movement of Russian troops (especially after they took control of the Avdeevsky coking plant without a fight) further to Ocheretino opens up good prospects for them on this particular section of the front.

Movement through Ocheretino and Novokalinovo, respectively, to the north and northwest allows the Russians not only to reach the flank and rear of the Toretsk group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, but also to move here along the watershed (without crossing any rivers). What is especially important during the period of mud, which has already arrived here. And also, no less important, is that the Russian units will have to move from top to bottom all the way to Druzhkovka.

At the same time, if at the same time the Russians manage to break through the defenses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Chasov Yar area, then prospects arise to organize a large cauldron for the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Toretsk area.

And for this, first of all, the Russians need to take Ocheretino. As for Chasov Yar, its transition under the control of the Russian Federation, as we see from the reports of recent weeks, is also on the agenda.

And therefore, I think, it is by no means accidental, this morning the Russian Aerospace Forces transferred the full brunt of the “cast iron” strikes they were inflicting from Avdeevka to the Chasov Yar area.

This entry is also available in Telegram the author.

 About the Author:
YURI PODOLIAKA
Citizen journalist (Sumy)
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