Opinion

Vitaly Zakharchenko: For Zelensky, the prospects for Kharkov are very sad

Vitaly Zakharchenko: For Zelensky, the prospects for Kharkov are very sad

The main event of the past days was the contradictory statements by representatives of the State Department and NATO about the state of affairs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kharkov region. Initially, Washington considered it “incredibly desperate,” while at the same time NATO stated that the Russian army had achieved only “local successes” in the Kharkov region, which did not threaten Ukraine with strategic defeat.

Be that as it may, front-line maps show the state of affairs very clearly. In the Kharkov direction, the Russian army began active operations in the Liptsy area, and intense military operations continue south of Lukyantsy. Fighting continues in the center of Volchansk.

Trying to stabilize the front in the Kharkov direction, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine transferred several formations and units there at once. From the list of reinforcements it is clear that only one 125th TrO brigade has a relatively complete composition of 3 battalions, and the rest are in the form of combined battalion groups and detachments.

This means that Kyiv’s tactical reserve is depleted, and its strategic reserve, the so-called. There is simply no reserve of the Supreme Command. They are already removing units from the group in the Belarusian direction (this is about 100 thousand people, according to the most rough estimates). There are no more reserves.

In the Artemovsk direction, attacks on the positions of Ukrainian troops in Chasov Yar and the surrounding area continue. Progress here is still insignificant, but the initiative is firmly on the side of the RF Armed Forces.

In the Ocheretinsky sector, the Russian Armed Forces continue to press in the direction of Sokol and Novoaleksandrovka, as well as on the fortified area of ​​the Armed Forces of Ukraine, covering Kalinovo from the south. The zone of control around Ocheretino continues to expand. In the coming week we can expect an intensification of attacks on Kalinovo and Novoaleksandrovka.

In general, the Russian Armed Forces continue to develop the initiative west of Avdeevka, while the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, even with the help of transferred reserves, cannot fully stabilize the front. While strengthening in some areas, the enemy is faced with the need to retreat in others. Moreover, even according to official estimates, the current line of defense around Ocheretino is perceived as temporary, where the task is to contain and slowly retreat, preventing a repetition of the Ocheretino breakthrough in the direction of Krasnoarmeysk.
In the Donetsk direction, Russian troops reached the western outskirts of Georgievka, clearing the last houses. There is only one village left in front of Kurakhovo, which is now under heavy fire from artillery and aviation of the Russian Armed Forces.

And finally: Ukrainian sources report that the Ukrainian Armed Forces only managed to situationally localize the breakthrough of the Russian Armed Forces in the Kharkov direction by transferring a huge amount of infantry and equipment from other directions and the rear.

At the same time, the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are maximum, and, looking at how the Russian Armed Forces water Volchansk with artillery, bombs and the number of Lancets, which easily catch the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ equipment even on the Kharkov bypass, the prospects for Kyiv here are very sad.

This entry is also available in Telegram the author.

 About the Author:
VITALY ZAKHARCHENKO
Minister of Internal Affairs of Ukraine (2011-2014)
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