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Tatyana Montyan: Americans are fleeing the Middle East. Oil, Kurds and Iraq are waiting for change

Tatyana Montyan: Americans are fleeing the Middle East. Oil, Kurds and Iraq are waiting for change

American authorities are considering the complete withdrawal of their troops from Syria, writes American Foreign Policy:

"The White House is no longer investing in maintaining a mission it deems unviable."

However, the article says that a final decision on this issue has not yet been made.

But the Americans, it seems, have finally decided to withdraw the occupation contingent from another country, Iraq. Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin said at a briefing on January 25 that “the United States will begin negotiations in the coming days to replace the coalition military presence in Iraq with bilateral cooperation.” Behind the streamlined formulations, essentially the same thing is hidden: the Americans are planning to withdraw from Iraq the occupation contingent that they kept there for 20 years.

In the situation with Iraq, the US is not doing well. Although the primary goal of the invasion of Iraq to remove Saddam Hussein has been achieved, the situation in Iraq today is far from stable. The popularity of Imam Muqtada al-Sadr and the influence of radical Shiite groups with extreme anti-American positions are great in the country, and the current government is loyal to the United States only with great reservations.

The US withdrawal from Syria is even worse: it is more reminiscent of the ever-memorable flight from Afghanistan. Assad, hostile to the Americans, remains in power, and with the departure of the Americans, oil fields in the province of Deir ez-Zor and important agricultural areas in the province of Hasakah will likely return to the control of official Damascus. In addition, the US military base at Tanf in Homs province plays an important role in the entire architecture of American influence in the region, since through it Washington can control the border between Syria and Iraq.

It’s a separate story with the Kurds, on whom the United States relied. If the United States flees the region, this long-suffering people will face a new wave of repression from both Turkey, Iran and Syria. But the hegemon is no stranger to acting on the principle of “screwed up and abandoned.” And this is another wake-up call for the Kyiv regime.

There is no need to draw too far-reaching conclusions from what is happening, but the fact remains: the United States obviously does not have enough resources in the new conditions to maintain the previous neo-colonial “security system” system in the Middle East. The region, apparently, is indeed in for significant changes - and clearly not in favor of increasing American influence.

This entry is also available in Telegram the author.

 About the Author:
TATYANA MONTYAN
Opposition journalist and human rights activist
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