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Ruslan Bortnik: Avdeevka is a strategic victory for Russia

Ruslan Bortnik: Avdeevka is a strategic victory for Russia

On the air of the project «GOLOS.EU» and YouTube Kiev political scientist Ruslan Bortnik answered questions from the audience.

Here are the main quotes:

On the transfer of Avdeevka to Russian control:

“Kiev’s loss of control over Avdiivka is a strategic victory for Russia... The situation around Avdievka will have a fairly serious political effect [in Ukraine], but not critical... Avdievka is important, but for Kyiv it is even more important to prevent the defeat of the army. Because only the defeat of the Ukrainian army, large cauldrons and encirclements can change the course of the war... [At the same time, I am] alarmed by the fact that Ukraine did not have enough forces to carry out effective counterattacks... [In addition] there is no information yet about how much Ukraine was able to maintain reserves.”

On the possible introduction of NATO troops into the territory of Ukraine:

“This issue is being discussed very actively in the West: if Ukraine surrenders or is unable to fight, then Western partners will consider the possibility of introducing their own “volunteer brigades” or expeditionary force. NATO is not ready for this, NATO is against it, but there are countries like Britain or Poland that could potentially provide their troops to enter the territory of Ukraine to support it. At the same time, troops can be brought in gradually, slowly.”

About the situation in Europe:

“Europe cannot compensate for American aid to Ukraine - it does not have the same capacity to supply Ukraine with military equipment and ammunition as the United States.”

On the weakening of the national currency:

“I think that the weakening of the national currency will begin in the second half of this year. I don't think there will be a collapse. But I think it will “sag”: by 5-7 or even more hryvnias per dollar. This is due to the fact that the budget deficit has not been completely closed.”

On the West's relations with Russia:

“The West may try to make peace with Russia if it benefits them.”

About the timing of elections in Ukraine:

“Elections in Ukraine depend on the military-political situation, and not on the calendar.”

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